India’s smartwatch market has remodeled, seemingly in a single day. For years, it has been dominated by its homegrown gamers, whereas international giants like Apple and Samsung have struggled for presence, amid the tons of of tens of millions of annual shipments. Abruptly, nevertheless, the class has been flooded with unknown manufacturers, which haven’t any prior and important existence. These have began gaining buyer focus and are anticipated to finally push the market towards a consolidation stage.
Home manufacturers like Hearth-Boltt, Noise and boAt have dominated the class, making up greater than 60% of the full market. Apple and Samsung, then again, fell from 4.5% to somewhat over 2% share mixed, with 1.1 million models shipped in 2023, according to market intelligence agency IDC.
In the meantime, new entrants have seen a surge of their market share from three to 3-5% in 2020 to 15-20% final 12 months. Vikas Sharma, senior market analyst for wearable units, IDC, informed TechCrunch that the class now accounts for 134.2 million models yearly.
These manufacturers typically carry an unrecognized identify or are knockoffs of established merchandise. Many are direct copies of massive international manufacturers like Apple and Samsung, priced at lower than $12 (1,000 Indian rupees). The Apple Watch value in India begins at $360 (29,900 Indian rupees) for the Apple Watch SE, whereas the Samsung Galaxy Watch 4 retails at $290 (23,999 Indian rupees). The Indian smartwatches from manufacturers akin to Hearth-Boltt, boAt and Noise begin from $12.
In contrast to the costlier fashions, off-brand merchandise typically haven’t any warranties. In some circumstances, the retailer provides prospects a alternative assure, however that’s, too, not supplied by the producer and given merely on a bit of paper and even verbally. Health monitoring metrics are sometimes inaccurate attributable to inferior number of sensors to avoid wasting prices, whereas the {hardware}/software program combo leaves a lot to be desired. However, the accuracy — even on the smartwatches provided by established Indian gamers — typically doesn’t match that of the Apple Watch or Samsung Galaxy Watch, as these distributors compromise on sensor high quality to take care of affordability.
“The accuracy of the sensors is just not adequate [across most affordable smartwatches] to supply the identical stage of consumer expertise, which customers get in a premium mannequin,” Counterpoint’s senior analysis analyst Anshika Jain informed TechCrunch.
Sharma identified the aesthetics, which make these unknown branded fashions resemble the Apple Watch and Apple Watch Extremely or some high-end rounded smartwatches, in addition to affordability, assist them acquire buyer consideration.
Hong Kong-based market analyst agency Counterpoint Analysis has noticed the variety of unknown manufacturers within the Indian smartwatch market has grown from 78 in 2021 to 128 in 2023.
“There was nearly 80-90% development within the variety of unknown manufacturers,” mentioned Jain. “This clearly signifies how the market has change into extra crowded now.”
She famous the sample the analyst agency has noticed for the final couple of years: Most unknown manufacturers emerge through the third quarter — across the time of the festive season within the nation — and stay lively for one or two quarters earlier than disappearing utterly. Moreover, these are seemingly white-label merchandise imported from China at dirt-cheap costs or assembled by an Indian electronics manufacturing providers associate, she mentioned.
Declining costs
The expansion of unknown manufacturers within the Indian smartwatch market has not but considerably impacted all of the native companies dominating the market. Nevertheless, the present gamers are cautious. Some established native manufacturers have began feeling the warmth. Moreover, the rising market share of unknown manufacturers has diminished the typical promoting value (ASP).
Sameer Mehta, co-founder and CEO of Warburg Pincus-backed boAt, informed TechCrunch the decline in ASPs is as excessive as 90%.
“General volumes have began taking place,” he mentioned. “ASPs have declined by, say, 90%, which basically doesn’t fare nicely for any business. Inform me one business the place the worth erosion reaches 90% in only one 12 months.”
Market analysts have additionally noticed a large dip within the ASP, although not as substantial a drop as Mehta talked about.
Jain of Counterpoint, in the meantime, mentioned the ASP dropped by round 39% to $36 in 2023 from $59 in 2022. “There’s a whole lot of froth on the backside, which is simply bringing in units and placing it out out there. As soon as that goes away, there might be some sanctity. Everyone will cease investing within the enterprise if no one is earning money within the enterprise.”
boAt, India’s third-leading smartwatch model, noticed a 17% decline in year-on-year development within the fourth quarter, per IDC. The smartwatch enterprise contributes about 20% of the startup’s revenues.
Mehta mentioned regardless of seeing some impression from the unrecognized manufacturers, boAt would proceed to generate 15-20% of revenues from smartwatches within the subsequent couple of years.
In contrast to boAt, Hearth-Boltt and Noise (the highest two manufacturers), noticed year-on-year development in the identical quarter.
Gaurav Khatri, co-founder of Bose-backed Noise, informed TechCrunch the startup didn’t see any notable impression from the “fixed inflow of latest entrants and types.”
Strikes to retain the market
Market consultants imagine the continued shift with unknown manufacturers increasing their presence will have an effect on all key gamers — except the dominants change their technique and add extra worth to their future smartwatches.
At the moment, market incumbents primarily goal first-time consumers — just like unknown manufacturers. As a substitute, analysts imagine that established manufacturers ought to goal present prospects.
“Persons are not choosing these [established Indian branded] smartwatches for his or her subsequent buy with the identical stage of enthusiasm for the primary buy… the principle cause is clearly the shopper expertise and consumer interface of those units, which isn’t that clean,” mentioned Counterpoint’s Jain.
Most established Indian gamers don’t give attention to bringing distinctive beneficial options to smartwatches, in contrast to their big-tech counterparts together with Apple and Samsung. Smartwatch makers within the nation additionally typically use the identical Chinese language unique design producers [ODMs], limiting product differentiation. Many of those fashions even bear an uncanny resemblance to Apple and Samsung. Nevertheless, Indian manufacturers declare to develop printed circuit boards regionally, and design software program experiences in-house, distinguishing themselves from international gamers. Native assembling basically helps producers keep away from import duties which might be 20%.
Final 12 months, smartwatch manufacturers boAt and Noise entered the smart ring market in India to diversify their product catalog. Nevertheless, the sensible ring market in India, which noticed greater than 100,000 shipments in 2023, is led by Ultrahuman, with a share of 43.1% in This fall, per IDC.
Mehta of boAt informed TechCrunch the startup is seeking to give attention to creating completely different classes within the smartwatch market, akin to new fashions geared toward children and the aged, sports activities and wellness, to retain its presence. Equally, it’s seeking to design its new smartwatches for second- or third-time consumers, who’re extra conscious of their well being and wellness and search for better-quality units. Nonetheless, these modifications will improve the pricing of boAt smartwatches.
That mentioned, market analysts like IDC’s Sharma predicts the Indian smartwatch market will see solely single-digit development this 12 months attributable to stiff competitors from unknown manufacturers and dropping ASPs. The market used to see over 150% year-on-year growth within the earlier years.
Sharma additionally believes that the smartwatch market could consolidate within the coming couple of years, and fewer gamers could be left.
“There might be a flatline coming within the subsequent two years… all of it picked up after COVID, and now it’s gone to a sky stage… we’ll quickly see a saturation level,” he mentioned.